Charlesworth Capital

Data status

Every dataset the site uses, from the last run of npm run update-data (scripts/update_data.py). "Pending" datasets show a labelled placeholder on their pages.

DatasetStatusData as ofCheckedSource / reason
Observed AI exposure by US occupation group (simple average across occupations)
ai-exposure-major-groups
ok30 Sep 202624 Oct 2026 Anthropic Economic Index, labor-market impacts (observed exposure)
Observed AI exposure, every US detailed occupation
ai-exposure-occupations
ok30 Sep 202624 Oct 2026 Anthropic Economic Index, labor-market impacts (observed exposure)
Dataset of cyber and physical attacks on AI infrastructure
ai-infra-incidents
pending24 Oct 2026 No consolidated public dataset
No maintained public dataset of attacks on AI labs or data centres exists yet; individual verified incidents are listed in the timeline on this page instead.
Number of armed conflicts worldwide, by type
armed-conflicts-by-type
ok202524 Oct 2026 Uppsala Conflict Data Program and Peace Research Institute Oslo (2026); geoBoundaries (2023) – processed by Our World in Data
Growth of $100 over 5 years (weekly)
asset-perf-ai
ok26 Oct 202630 Oct 2026 Yahoo Finance chart data (adjusted close), rebased by this site
Growth of $100 over 5 years (weekly)
asset-perf-energy
ok26 Oct 202630 Oct 2026 Yahoo Finance chart data (adjusted close), rebased by this site
Growth of $100 over 5 years (weekly)
asset-perf-hard
ok26 Oct 202630 Oct 2026 Yahoo Finance chart data (adjusted close), rebased by this site
Privacy coins vs Bitcoin and gold: growth of $100 over 5 years (weekly)
asset-perf-privacy
ok26 Oct 202630 Oct 2026 Yahoo Finance chart data (adjusted close), rebased by this site
Total-return proxies (adjusted close)
asset-returns
ok30 Oct 202630 Oct 2026 Yahoo Finance chart data (adjusted close)
Advertising vs. total revenue by company and year (10-K)
bigtech-ad-filings
ok31 Dec 202530 Oct 2026 SEC EDGAR 10-K filings (inline XBRL)
Advertising revenue, Meta and Alphabet
bigtech-ad-revenue
ok31 Dec 202530 Oct 2026 SEC EDGAR 10-K filings (inline XBRL)
Share of revenue that comes from advertising
bigtech-ad-share
ok31 Dec 202530 Oct 2026 SEC EDGAR 10-K filings (inline XBRL)
Bright Line Watch expert ratings of US democracy
bright-line-watch
pending24 Oct 2026 Bright Line Watch
Published as survey reports/charts rather than a stable CSV endpoint; add values manually from their wave reports.
Deaths in all armed conflicts per 100,000 world population, by type (UCDP)
conflict-death-rate-by-type
ok202530 Oct 2026 Uppsala Conflict Data Program (2026); geoBoundaries (2023); Population based on various sources (2024) – with minor processing by Our World in Data
Conflict deaths per 100,000 world population since 1400, three sources
conflict-death-rate-longrun
ok202530 Oct 2026 Brecke – Conflict Catalog (1999); Population based on various sources (2023) – with major processing by Our World in Data; Correlates of War – Wars (2020); Population based on various sources (2023) – with minor processing by Our World in Data; Uppsala Conflict Data Program (2026) and other sources – with minor processing by Our World in Data
Deaths in state-based conflicts per 100,000 world population, by type
conflict-death-rate-state-1946
ok202530 Oct 2026 Uppsala Conflict Data Program (2026) and other sources – with minor processing by Our World in Data
Deaths in state-based conflicts as % of world population, by type
conflict-death-share-state-1946
ok202530 Oct 2026 Uppsala Conflict Data Program (2026) and other sources – with minor processing by Our World in Data
Deaths in armed conflicts worldwide, by type
conflict-deaths-by-type
ok202524 Oct 2026 Uppsala Conflict Data Program (2026); geoBoundaries (2023) – processed by Our World in Data
Conflict deaths since 1400, three sources (absolute)
conflict-deaths-longrun
ok202530 Oct 2026 Brecke – Conflict Catalog (1999); Population based on various sources (2023) – with major processing by Our World in Data; Correlates of War – Wars (2020); Population based on various sources (2023) – with minor processing by Our World in Data; Uppsala Conflict Data Program (2026) and other sources – with minor processing by Our World in Data
Deaths in state-based conflicts, by type (absolute)
conflict-deaths-state-1946
ok202530 Oct 2026 Uppsala Conflict Data Program (2026); geoBoundaries (2023); Peace Research Institute Oslo (2017) – processed by Our World in Data
Global copper price
copper-price
ok1 Sep 202630 Oct 2026 FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (PCOPPUSDM)
Industrial electricity prices by country
electricity-prices
pending24 Oct 2026 IEA / GlobalPetrolPrices
No open, cross-country electricity price dataset found; total generation is used as the energy-abundance proxy.
euro-unemployment
euro-unemployment
ok1 Jan 202324 Oct 2026
Table not yet fetched.
Executive orders signed per year
executive-orders-per-year
ok24 Oct 202624 Oct 2026 Federal Register API (National Archives)
Forbes World's Billionaires: combined net worth and headcount
forbes-billionaires
ok202624 Oct 2026 Forbes World's Billionaires list, via Wikipedia table
Tracked frontier AI data centres: current compute and power by country
frontier-dc-by-country
ok24 Oct 202624 Oct 2026 Epoch AI, Frontier Data Centers Hub
Largest tracked AI data centres (Epoch AI)
frontier-dcs
ok24 Oct 202624 Oct 2026 Epoch AI, Frontier Data Centers Hub
Organisations with a model trained on ≥10^25 FLOP (Epoch AI)
frontier-orgs
ok3 Sep 202624 Oct 2026 Epoch AI, Data on AI models (frontier and large-scale subsets)
How many players are at the frontier?
frontier-players
ok3 Sep 202624 Oct 2026 Epoch AI, Data on AI models (frontier and large-scale subsets)
Global surface temperature anomaly (NASA GISTEMP v4)
giss-temperature
ok202524 Oct 2026 NASA GISS Surface Temperature Analysis (GISTEMP v4)
Global Peace Index
global-peace-index
pending24 Oct 2026 Institute for Economics & Peace
GPI scores are not available as an open CSV/API; UCDP conflict exposure is used as the peace proxy instead.
Global demonstrations & riots (ACLED)
global-protests-acled
pending24 Oct 2026 ACLED
ACLED requires a free account + API key. Register, then add ACLED_KEY/ACLED_EMAIL support to this script.
Hyperscaler capital expenditure by fiscal year
hyperscaler-capex
ok30 Jun 202624 Oct 2026 SEC EDGAR XBRL company facts (10-K filings)
Capex by company and fiscal year (10-K)
hyperscaler-capex-filings
ok30 Jun 202624 Oct 2026 SEC EDGAR XBRL company concept API
Five-firm capex as % of US GDP (computed)
hyperscaler-capex-gdp
ok202524 Oct 2026 SEC EDGAR XBRL (10-K capex); BEA GDP via FRED (GDPA); ratio computed by this site
General government gross debt, % of GDP
imf-govt-debt
ok202524 Oct 2026 IMF World Economic Outlook, DataMapper (GGXWDG_NGDP)
Live Nation Entertainment revenue
live-nation-revenue
ok31 Dec 202530 Oct 2026 SEC EDGAR XBRL (Live Nation Entertainment 10-K)
Atmospheric CO₂ at Mauna Loa (annual mean)
mauna-loa-co2
ok202524 Oct 2026 NOAA Global Monitoring Laboratory, Mauna Loa
METR time-horizon results by model
metr-models
ok7 Apr 202624 Oct 2026 METR, Time Horizon v1.1
METR 50% time horizon of frontier AI agents (state-of-the-art models)
metr-time-horizon
ok7 Apr 202624 Oct 2026 METR, Time Horizon v1.1 benchmark results
National emergencies declared under the National Emergencies Act, by president
national-emergencies-by-president
ok24 Oct 202624 Oct 2026 Wikipedia: List of national emergencies in the United States (cites Federal Register, CRS, Brennan Center)
Country indicators for the post-AGI thesis
post-agi-countries
ok24 Oct 202624 Oct 2026 Epoch AI (Notable AI Models, Frontier AI Models, GPU Clusters); UNDP HDI, V-Dem, Ember/Energy Institute, FAO/World Bank, USGS via Our World in Data; UCDP/PRIO
Published self-replication evaluation results
self-replication-evals
pending24 Oct 2026 Various labs / papers
No consolidated dataset exists; results are reported paper-by-paper (cited in the text on this page rather than charted).
State-based conflicts active in 2025
ucdp-active-latest
ok202530 Oct 2026 UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset v26.1
Wars vs. minor conflicts per year
ucdp-intensity
ok202530 Oct 2026 UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset v26.1
Active state-based armed conflicts per year, by type
ucdp-state-conflicts
ok202530 Oct 2026 UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset v26.1 (Uppsala Conflict Data Program)
State-based armed conflicts per year, 1946 onward
ucdp-yearly-counts
ok202530 Oct 2026 UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset v26.1
US prices: day care & preschool vs. all items
us-cpi-childcare
ok1 Sep 202624 Oct 2026 FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (CUUR0000SEEB, CPIAUCSL)
US federal debt as % of GDP
us-debt-to-gdp
ok1 Jan 202624 Oct 2026 FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (GFDEGDQ188S)
EIU Democracy Index (US)
us-eiu-democracy
pending24 Oct 2026 Economist Intelligence Unit
EIU data is licensed/non-redistributable (OWID refuses CSV export); add manually from the EIU report if desired.
United States: V-Dem electoral democracy index
us-electoral-democracy
ok202524 Oct 2026 V-Dem (2026), processed by Our World in Data
US total public debt
us-federal-debt
ok1 Apr 202624 Oct 2026 FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (GFDEBTN)
United States: Freedom House civil liberties score
us-fh-civil-liberties
ok202524 Oct 2026 Freedom House, processed by Our World in Data
United States: Freedom House political rights score
us-fh-political-rights
ok202524 Oct 2026 Freedom House, processed by Our World in Data
US median house price ÷ median household income
us-house-price-to-income
ok202524 Oct 2026 FRED (MSPUS, MEHOINUSA646N); ratio computed by this site
US federal interest payments (annualised)
us-interest-payments
ok1 Apr 202624 Oct 2026 FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (A091RC1Q027SBEA)
United States: V-Dem democracy indices
us-liberal-democracy
ok202524 Oct 2026 V-Dem (2026), processed by Our World in Data
US productivity vs. real hourly compensation (nonfarm business)
us-productivity-vs-pay
ok1 Apr 202624 Oct 2026 FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (OPHNFB, COMPRNFB)
US protest events per month (Crowd Counting Consortium)
us-protest-events
okMay 202624 Oct 2026 Crowd Counting Consortium (Harvard Ash Center / UConn), Harvard Dataverse
US unemployment rates
us-unemployment
ok1 Sep 202624 Oct 2026 FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (UNRATE, U6RATE)
US unemployment: young workers vs. graduates
us-unemployment-groups
ok1 Sep 202624 Oct 2026 FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (LNS14024887, LNS14027662)
Share of US household net worth: top vs. bottom
us-wealth-top
ok1 Apr 202624 Oct 2026 FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (WFRBST01134, WFRBSTP1300, WFRBSB50215)
War Powers Resolution reports to Congress
war-powers-reports
pending24 Oct 2026 Congressional Research Service
No machine-readable feed found; CRS maintains the list as a PDF report. Add counts manually from CRS R42699 if desired.
Annual working hours per worker
working-hours
ok202324 Oct 2026 Feenstra et al. – Penn World Table (2025); Huberman and Minns (2005) – with major processing by Our World in Data
Annual CO₂ emissions from fossil fuels & industry
world-co2-emissions
ok202424 Oct 2026 Global Carbon Budget (Global Carbon Project), processed by Our World in Data
World military expenditure (SIPRI)
world-military-spending
ok202524 Oct 2026 Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (2026) – with minor processing by Our World in Data
Prevalence of undernourishment
world-undernourishment
ok202424 Oct 2026 FAO, SDG indicator 2.1.1 (SOFI), via Our World in Data
World unemployment rate (ILO modelled)
world-unemployment
ok202524 Oct 2026 ILO modelled estimates via World Bank, processed by Our World in Data

Prediction-market snapshots

From npm run update-markets (scripts/update_markets.py; also run by update_data.py markets). Sources: Polymarket Gamma/CLOB API, Kalshi trade API v2, Manifold API v0. Metaculus is not included: its API requires an authenticated account token.

ThemeFetched (UTC)Refs okStaleUnavailableMarkets shown
AI and the great divergence2026-10-30 17:06:15140034
World War 3 risk2026-10-30 17:06:15220033
War, emergency powers and the Trump presidency2026-10-30 17:06:15170030
Best countries to live in a post-AGI world2026-10-30 17:06:15120014
Preparing our families and children for a post-AGI world2026-10-30 17:06:15110018
Game theory of competing AGIs2026-10-30 17:06:15130018
Ranking the ways AI could end humanity2026-10-30 17:06:15140018
How humans have failed, and how AI could do better2026-10-30 17:06:1590021
Assets to hold on the way to AGI and after2026-10-30 17:26:22130044
AI capex vs. history's great buildouts2026-10-30 17:39:0460021
Agent swarms and the "DNA" of a resilient AI agent2026-10-30 17:06:1590019
Cows of the future? Harari, advertising and the attention economy2026-10-30 17:47:226008
Work and businesses that win on the way to AGI2026-10-30 18:12:2390018
Data behind this figure